Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

37%

Bristol City

2.70

29%

Draw

3.39

33%

Watford

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.62

1.27

Watford xG

37%
29%
33%
Bristol CityDrawWatford

2.70

37%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

28%

Bristol City

3.57

26%

Watford

3.86

Win to Nil

10%

Bristol City

9.64

9%

Watford

11.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.2 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.8 12.5 7.9 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.4 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.0 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.350
λ Away (xG) 1.273
Total xG 2.623
League avg home goals 1.325
League avg away goals 1.187
Bristol City attack strength 1.085
Bristol City defence strength 1.160
Watford attack strength 0.924
Watford defence strength 0.939
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 80 / 80