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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

49%

Bristol City

2.04

28%

Draw

3.61

23%

Watford

4.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.22

0.85

Watford xG

49%
28%
23%
Bristol CityDrawWatford

2.04

49%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

4.29

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

43%

Bristol City

2.34

25%

Watford

3.94

Win to Nil

21%

Bristol City

4.78

6%

Watford

16.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 9.2 3.9 1.1 0.2
1 14.8 12.6 5.4 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.2 8.7 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 4.7 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.372
λ Away (xG) 0.852
Total xG 2.224
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.016
Bristol City attack strength 1.030
Bristol City defence strength 0.853
Watford attack strength 0.984
Watford defence strength 1.011
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 85