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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

12:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

65%

Bristol City

1.55

23%

Draw

4.34

12%

Swansea

8.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.54

0.69

Swansea xG

65%
23%
12%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea

1.55

65%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

8.03

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

50%

Bristol City

1.99

16%

Swansea

6.37

Win to Nil

32%

Bristol City

3.08

2%

Swansea

51.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 5.4 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 14.6 10.0 3.5 0.8 0.1
2 13.5 9.3 3.2 0.7 0.1
3 8.4 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 3.9 2.7 0.9 0.2
5 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.852
λ Away (xG) 0.687
Total xG 2.539
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 1.047
Bristol City attack strength 1.019
Bristol City defence strength 0.809
Swansea attack strength 0.811
Swansea defence strength 1.327
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 76