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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

12:30

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

45%

Bristol City

2.23

31%

Draw

3.22

24%

Stoke City

4.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.30

0.94

Stoke City xG

45%
31%
24%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City

2.23

45%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

4.14

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

39%

Bristol City

2.56

26%

Stoke City

3.90

Win to Nil

18%

Bristol City

5.70

6%

Stoke City

16.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 9.4 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.6 12.8 6.0 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 8.7 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.2 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.362
λ Away (xG) 0.939
Total xG 2.301
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.204
Bristol City attack strength 0.962
Bristol City defence strength 1.230
Stoke City attack strength 0.634
Stoke City defence strength 1.080
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91