Bristol City vs Stoke City – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bristol City Win
49%
2.04
29%
3.39
22%
4.63
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.8%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.1%
Draw
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.28
Bristol City xG
Total xG
2.03
0.75
Stoke City xG
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
2.04
49%
Home win
3.39
29%
Draw
4.63
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
38%
BTTS Yes
2.61
62%
BTTS No
1.62
Clean Sheet
47%
2.11
28%
3.60
Win to Nil
23%
4.32
6%
16.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.1 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.8 | 12.6 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.280
λ Away (xG)
0.749
Total xG
2.029
League avg home goals
1.340
League avg away goals
1.053
Bristol City attack strength
0.924
Bristol City defence strength
0.833
Stoke City attack strength
0.854
Stoke City defence strength
1.034
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
77 / 76