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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals

Kick-off

Thu 8 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

42%

Bristol City

2.38

28%

Draw

3.63

30%

Sheffield Utd

3.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.38

1.07

Sheffield Utd xG

42%
28%
30%
Bristol CityDrawSheffield Utd

2.38

42%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

3.29

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

34%

Bristol City

2.92

27%

Sheffield Utd

3.70

Win to Nil

14%

Bristol City

6.94

8%

Sheffield Utd

12.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.1 13.0 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.9 8.5 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.307
λ Away (xG) 1.070
Total xG 2.377
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.028
Bristol City attack strength 1.160
Bristol City defence strength 0.991
Sheffield Utd attack strength 1.050
Sheffield Utd defence strength 0.849
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 46