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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Thu 1 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

57%

Bristol City

1.76

25%

Draw

3.93

18%

Portsmouth

5.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.49

0.83

Portsmouth xG

57%
25%
18%
Bristol CityDrawPortsmouth

1.76

57%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

5.62

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

44%

Bristol City

2.28

19%

Portsmouth

5.30

Win to Nil

25%

Bristol City

4.03

3%

Portsmouth

29.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 6.8 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 13.8 11.4 4.7 1.3 0.3
2 11.5 9.5 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 6.4 5.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.7 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.667
λ Away (xG) 0.826
Total xG 2.493
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.151
Bristol City attack strength 1.034
Bristol City defence strength 0.946
Portsmouth attack strength 0.758
Portsmouth defence strength 1.184
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 69