Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

61%

Bristol City

1.63

24%

Draw

4.12

14%

Portsmouth

6.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.71

0.82

Portsmouth xG

61%
24%
14%
Bristol CityDrawPortsmouth

1.63

61%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

6.98

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

44%

Bristol City

2.26

15%

Portsmouth

6.61

Win to Nil

27%

Bristol City

3.69

2%

Portsmouth

46.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.6 10.3 4.2 1.1 0.2
2 11.9 9.7 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 7.5 6.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
4 3.5 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.889
λ Away (xG) 0.817
Total xG 2.706
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.035
Bristol City attack strength 0.899
Bristol City defence strength 0.889
Portsmouth attack strength 0.889
Portsmouth defence strength 1.471
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 21