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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

54%

Bristol City

1.85

23%

Draw

4.26

22%

Oxford United

4.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.80

1.05

Oxford United xG

54%
23%
22%
Bristol CityDrawOxford United

1.85

54%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

4.46

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

35%

Bristol City

2.85

17%

Oxford United

5.81

Win to Nil

19%

Bristol City

5.26

4%

Oxford United

25.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 6.3 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.6 11.1 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.8 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.5 5.7 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.759
λ Away (xG) 1.046
Total xG 2.805
League avg home goals 1.240
League avg away goals 1.184
Bristol City attack strength 1.223
Bristol City defence strength 0.970
Oxford United attack strength 0.910
Oxford United defence strength 1.159
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51