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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

20:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

50%

Bristol City

2.01

30%

Draw

3.37

21%

Norwich

4.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.02

0.73

Norwich xG

50%
30%
21%
Bristol CityDrawNorwich

2.01

50%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

4.83

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.65

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

48%

Bristol City

2.07

27%

Norwich

3.64

Win to Nil

24%

Bristol City

4.17

6%

Norwich

17.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 9.7 3.5 0.9 0.2
1 17.1 12.5 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 11.1 8.1 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 4.8 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.291
λ Away (xG) 0.728
Total xG 2.019
League avg home goals 1.337
League avg away goals 1.034
Bristol City attack strength 0.974
Bristol City defence strength 0.822
Norwich attack strength 0.857
Norwich defence strength 0.992
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 83