Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

56%

Bristol City

1.78

23%

Draw

4.40

21%

Millwall

4.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.94

1.07

Millwall xG

56%
23%
21%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall

1.78

56%

Home win

4.40

23%

Draw

4.73

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

34%

Bristol City

2.91

15%

Millwall

6.53

Win to Nil

19%

Bristol City

5.18

3%

Millwall

30.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.6 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.9 10.6 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.8 6.2 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.1
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.876
λ Away (xG) 1.067
Total xG 2.943
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.248
Bristol City attack strength 1.102
Bristol City defence strength 0.916
Millwall attack strength 0.934
Millwall defence strength 1.271
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64