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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

66%

Bristol City

1.51

22%

Draw

4.53

12%

Luton

8.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.85

0.78

Luton xG

66%
22%
12%
Bristol CityDrawLuton

1.51

66%

Home win

4.53

22%

Draw

8.50

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

46%

Bristol City

2.18

13%

Luton

7.92

Win to Nil

30%

Bristol City

3.29

1%

Luton

67.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.0 9.3 3.6 0.9 0.2
2 12.4 9.7 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 8.6 6.7 2.6 0.7 0.1
4 4.4 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.070
λ Away (xG) 0.778
Total xG 2.848
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.025
Bristol City attack strength 0.987
Bristol City defence strength 0.956
Luton attack strength 0.794
Luton defence strength 1.499
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 22