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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

49%

Bristol City

2.02

26%

Draw

3.82

24%

Birmingham

4.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.44

0.96

Birmingham xG

49%
26%
24%
Bristol CityDrawBirmingham

2.02

49%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

4.11

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

38%

Bristol City

2.60

23%

Birmingham

4.41

Win to Nil

19%

Bristol City

5.26

6%

Birmingham

18.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 8.3 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 12.9 12.4 5.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.2 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.7 4.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.485
λ Away (xG) 0.957
Total xG 2.442
League avg home goals 1.194
League avg away goals 1.146
Bristol City attack strength 1.164
Bristol City defence strength 1.172
Birmingham attack strength 0.712
Birmingham defence strength 1.069
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 11