Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Tue 30 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Ewood Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swansea Win

33%

Blackburn

3.04

29%

Draw

3.41

38%

Swansea

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Blackburn xG

Total xG

2.17

1.13

Swansea xG

33%
29%
38%
BlackburnDrawSwansea

3.04

33%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

32%

Blackburn

3.10

36%

Swansea

2.82

Win to Nil

11%

Blackburn

9.43

13%

Swansea

7.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 13.0 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.9 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.1 6.9 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.035
λ Away (xG) 1.132
Total xG 2.167
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.139
Blackburn attack strength 0.910
Blackburn defence strength 1.184
Swansea attack strength 0.839
Swansea defence strength 0.917
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 53