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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

12:30

Venue

Ewood Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

26%

Blackburn

3.91

29%

Draw

3.40

45%

Stoke City

2.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Blackburn xG

Total xG

2.33

1.36

Stoke City xG

26%
29%
45%
BlackburnDrawStoke City

3.91

26%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.22

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

26%

Blackburn

3.90

38%

Stoke City

2.62

Win to Nil

7%

Blackburn

15.23

17%

Stoke City

5.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 13.3 9.1 4.1 1.4 0.4
1 9.4 12.8 8.7 4.0 1.3 0.4
2 4.5 6.2 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.5 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.964
λ Away (xG) 1.361
Total xG 2.325
League avg home goals 1.200
League avg away goals 1.175
Blackburn attack strength 0.919
Blackburn defence strength 1.256
Stoke City attack strength 0.922
Stoke City defence strength 0.874
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 54