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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Ewood Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Blackburn Win

38%

Blackburn

2.61

27%

Draw

3.76

35%

Middlesbrough

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Blackburn xG

Total xG

2.56

1.25

Middlesbrough xG

38%
27%
35%
BlackburnDrawMiddlesbrough

2.61

38%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

29%

Blackburn

3.48

27%

Middlesbrough

3.73

Win to Nil

11%

Blackburn

9.08

9%

Middlesbrough

10.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.1 12.6 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 8.3 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.9 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.316
λ Away (xG) 1.247
Total xG 2.563
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.009
Blackburn attack strength 0.902
Blackburn defence strength 1.012
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.222
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.098
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 85