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Blackburn vs Luton – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Ewood Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Blackburn Win

63%

Blackburn

1.60

25%

Draw

4.08

13%

Luton

7.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Blackburn xG

Total xG

2.69

0.78

Luton xG

63%
25%
13%
BlackburnDrawLuton

1.60

63%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

7.80

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

46%

Blackburn

2.17

15%

Luton

6.79

Win to Nil

29%

Blackburn

3.46

2%

Luton

52.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.0 10.1 3.9 1.0 0.2
2 12.4 9.6 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 7.9 6.2 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 3.8 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.915
λ Away (xG) 0.775
Total xG 2.690
League avg home goals 1.344
League avg away goals 1.015
Blackburn attack strength 0.925
Blackburn defence strength 0.891
Luton attack strength 0.857
Luton defence strength 1.541
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 20