Blackburn 0-0 Hull City – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Blackburn at 39%, yet other data sources diverge — this Blackburn vs Hull City fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Championship encounter, Regular Season - 42 sees Hull City travel to Ewood Park to take on Blackburn. The game is scheduled for Saturday 15 April 2023, 19:45 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Championship games this season, Blackburn have gone 5W 2D 3L from 10 outings — a 1.70 PPG return. Last five: L W L L D. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation.
In front of their own supporters this season, Blackburn have posted 6W 1D 3L at Ewood Park — 1.90 PPG. At home they are averaging 0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 clean sheets from 10 home games (60%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Ewood Park. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Hull City stand at 2W 5D 3L from 10 Championship matches — 1.10 PPG. Last five: L D D D W. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 1.30 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity.
Hull City's away record: 2W 5D 3L from 10 road trips in Championship this season (1.10 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game.
Blackburn are in the better shape of the two on current Championship data — 0.60 PPG ahead (1.70 vs 1.10). That form margin is the baseline of a sensible selection even before other signals are layered in.
H2H
The H2H landscape is flat: 3 previous encounters have yielded 2 wins for Blackburn, 1 for Hull City and 0 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The last 3 meetings have been tight affairs, averaging just 1.7 goals per game. That low-scoring pattern is a meaningful historical input for the Under 2.5 market. The most recent clash, on 29 Oct 2022, ended 1–0 with Blackburn winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.7 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading Patterns
Blackburn in-play and half-time data (86 games, 42 at home): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 79% of the time; BTTS occurs in 38% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 48% of games (home games); they fail to score in 33% of games.
Hull City in-play and half-time data (86 games, 42 at away): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 64% of the time; BTTS occurs in 38% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 33% of games (away games); they fail to score in 42% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Blackburn 41% versus Hull City 40%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Blackburn 44% | Hull City 36%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Blackburn 1.22 xG and Hull City 1.08 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Blackburn attack 0.832 / defence 0.902 | Hull City attack 1.109 / defence 1.164. League average goals — home 1.263 / away 1.080. Data: 86 Blackburn games / 87 Hull City games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Blackburn 39% | Draw 30% | Hull City 32%. Fair-value odds: Blackburn 2.56 | Draw 3.33 | Hull City 3.12. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 41% | BTTS probability 47% | Total xG 2.30. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 59% — total xG of 2.30 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 47% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Blackburn at 39% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 30% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Blackburn offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.30 combined xG gives a 41% probability to Under 2.5 — strong, supported by form averaging 2.1 goals per game and H2H averaging 1.7 goals per meeting.
Poisson assigns a 47% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Blackburn 30% | Hull City 50% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Blackburn vs Hull City | Competition: Championship, Regular Season - 42 | Venue: Ewood Park • Kick-off: Saturday 15 Apr 2023, 19:45 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Blackburn 39% | Draw 30% | Hull City 32% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 41% | BTTS 47% | xG Blackburn 1.22 / Hull City 1.08 • Poisson strength factors: Blackburn attack 0.832 / def 0.902 | Hull City attack 1.109 / def 1.164 | league avg home 1.263 / away 1.080 • Poisson stance: Blackburn (39%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.22
Blackburn xG
Expected Goals
1.08
Hull City xG
47%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
41%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Blackburn vs Hull City kick off?
Blackburn vs Hull City kicked off at 19:45 on Saturday 15 April 2023 at Ewood Park.
What was the final score in Blackburn vs Hull City?
Blackburn 0 - 0 Hull City.
Where is Blackburn vs Hull City being played?
The match is being played at Ewood Park.
What competition is Blackburn vs Hull City part of?
Blackburn vs Hull City is a Regular Season - 42 fixture in the Championship (England).
Who is favourite to win Blackburn vs Hull City?
Our statistical model gives Blackburn a 39% chance of winning, Hull City a 32% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Blackburn the favourite.
Will both teams score in Blackburn vs Hull City?
Our model estimates a 47% probability that both Blackburn and Hull City will score (BTTS).
Will Blackburn vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 41%.
What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and Hull City?
Record (3 meetings): Blackburn 2W | Draws 0 | Hull City 1W.
What form are Blackburn and Hull City in?
Blackburn (all comps): 5W-2D-3L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-W-L-L-D. Hull City (all comps): 2W-5D-3L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.30 | L5 L-D-D-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Blackburn's attack at 0.83x the league average against Hull City's defence at 1.16x — combine the two and it projects 1.22 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Hull City's attack versus Blackburn's defence, projects 1.08 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 86/87 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.9% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (11.7%), 1-0 (10.5%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Blackburn Win
39%
2.59
30%
3.37
32%
3.16
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.2%
Home win
0 – 1
10.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.22
Blackburn xG
Total xG
2.30
1.08
Hull City xG
2.59
39%
Home win
3.37
30%
Draw
3.16
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.11
53%
BTTS No
1.90
Clean Sheet
34%
2.95
29%
3.40
Win to Nil
13%
7.62
9%
10.75
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 10.8 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 13.2 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Blackburn vs Hull City?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.9%.
How many goals are Blackburn and Hull City expected to score?
The model projects 1.22 expected goals for Blackburn and 1.08 for Hull City, a combined total of 2.30.
How confident is the prediction model for Blackburn vs Hull City?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 39%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 86 outings, Blackburn have picked up 1.52 PPG on a 38W 17D 31L record — L-W-L-L-D across the most recent five.
Hull City's form line: 26W 22D 38L from 86 games, 1.16 PPG, last five L-D-D-D-W.
Form-wise this is close to level: Blackburn on 1.52 PPG, Hull City on 1.16. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Blackburn have posted 1.93 PPG from 42 outings (25W 6D 11L). That's noticeably better than their 1.52 PPG overall — Blackburn are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
On the road, Hull City have gone 11W 13D 18L from 42 away games — 1.10 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Blackburn come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Blackburn are averaging 1.21 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game recently; Hull City are on 0.99 scored and 1.28 conceded.
Last 86 Results — Championship
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Blackburn
Current Season
Hull City
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Blackburn and Hull City in coming into this match?
Blackburn have gone 38W 17D 31L in their last 86 games (1.52 PPG), while Hull City have gone 26W 22D 38L in their last 86 (1.16 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Blackburn at home or Hull City away?
Blackburn's home record (1.93 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Blackburn at home: 1.93 PPG; Hull City away: 1.10 PPG.
Have Blackburn or Hull City been keeping clean sheets recently?
Blackburn have kept a clean sheet in 34% of their recent games, Hull City in 30%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Blackburn and Hull City runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to September 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Championship. They last met on 31 January 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 23 Aug 2025, when Blackburn won 0-3 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Blackburn's record when hosting Hull City specifically: 1W 1D 3L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
4
Blackburn
1
Draws
5
Hull City
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and Hull City?
From 10 meetings on record, Blackburn have won 4, Hull City have won 5, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Blackburn and Hull City last play each other?
They last met on 31 January 2026, when Blackburn 0-1 Hull City.
Who has won more matches between Blackburn and Hull City?
Hull City have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Blackburn are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 43% of the time.
Hull City are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Blackburn 38%, Hull City 38% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 48% (Blackburn) and 33% (Hull City).
On the defensive side: Blackburn keep a clean sheet in 45% of their matches; Hull City in 33%; Hull City in 45%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Blackburn home games / Hull City away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Blackburn play Hull City?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 38% of Blackburn's recent matches and 38% of Hull City's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Blackburn vs Hull City usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 48% of Blackburn's recent games and 33% of Hull City's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Blackburn and Hull City tend to score early?
Blackburn have had a goal before half-time in 71% of their recent matches, Hull City in 62% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Blackburn's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Ewood Park, Regular Season - 42, as Blackburn and Hull City drew 0-0 in the Championship. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Blackburn 1.22 xG and Hull City 1.08 xG, a combined 2.30. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Blackburn fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Hull City landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Blackburn attack 0.83 / defence 0.90 against Hull City attack 1.11 / defence 1.16, drawn from 86/87 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Blackburn 39% | Draw 30% | Hull City 32%, with Blackburn to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 40% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Blackburn 44%, Hull City 36%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 40%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Blackburn's trading profile (86 games, 42 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 41% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Hull City's trading profile (86 games, 42 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 42% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Blackburn 1.52 PPG, Hull City 1.16 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Blackburn (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.45 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Hull City (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.98 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.33 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.