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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swansea Win

31%

Birmingham

3.27

30%

Draw

3.30

39%

Swansea

2.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Birmingham xG

Total xG

2.04

1.10

Swansea xG

31%
30%
39%
BirminghamDrawSwansea

3.27

31%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

2.56

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

33%

Birmingham

3.01

39%

Swansea

2.56

Win to Nil

10%

Birmingham

9.83

15%

Swansea

6.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 14.3 7.9 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 12.2 13.4 7.4 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 5.7 6.3 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.939
λ Away (xG) 1.102
Total xG 2.041
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.210
Birmingham attack strength 0.815
Birmingham defence strength 1.001
Swansea attack strength 0.910
Swansea defence strength 0.897
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 51