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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Birmingham Win
60%
1.68
20%
5.03
21%
4.87
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
7.8%
Draw
3 – 1
7.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.36
Birmingham xG
Total xG
3.70
1.35
Southampton xG
BirminghamDrawSouthampton
1.68
60%
Home win
5.03
20%
Draw
4.87
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
71%
Over 2.5
1.41
29%
Under 2.5
3.45
51%
Over 3.5
1.96
49%
Under 3.5
2.04
31%
Over 4.5
3.23
69%
Under 4.5
1.45
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
67%
BTTS Yes
1.49
33%
BTTS No
3.06
Clean Sheet
26%
3.84
9%
10.55
Win to Nil
16%
6.45
2%
51.33
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 9.2 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.356
λ Away (xG)
1.346
Total xG
3.702
League avg home goals
1.374
League avg away goals
1.147
Birmingham attack strength
1.270
Birmingham defence strength
0.976
Southampton attack strength
1.202
Southampton defence strength
1.350
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
23 / 23