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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

15:00

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

42%

Birmingham

2.37

29%

Draw

3.49

29%

Sheffield Utd

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Birmingham xG

Total xG

2.61

1.17

Sheffield Utd xG

42%
29%
29%
BirminghamDrawSheffield Utd

2.37

42%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

31%

Birmingham

3.21

24%

Sheffield Utd

4.23

Win to Nil

13%

Birmingham

7.62

7%

Sheffield Utd

14.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 8.6 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 10.6 12.4 7.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 8.9 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.7 4.3 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.442
λ Away (xG) 1.166
Total xG 2.608
League avg home goals 1.288
League avg away goals 1.197
Birmingham attack strength 1.057
Birmingham defence strength 0.978
Sheffield Utd attack strength 0.996
Sheffield Utd defence strength 1.060
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 83