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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Oxford United Win

35%

Birmingham

2.84

26%

Draw

3.80

38%

Oxford United

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Birmingham xG

Total xG

2.63

1.35

Oxford United xG

35%
26%
38%
BirminghamDrawOxford United

2.84

35%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

26%

Birmingham

3.85

28%

Oxford United

3.60

Win to Nil

9%

Birmingham

10.91

11%

Oxford United

9.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.7 6.6 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 9.3 12.5 8.4 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.9 8.0 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 3.4 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.280
λ Away (xG) 1.347
Total xG 2.627
League avg home goals 1.234
League avg away goals 1.190
Birmingham attack strength 0.838
Birmingham defence strength 1.130
Oxford United attack strength 1.002
Oxford United defence strength 1.237
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 2 / 48