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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

56%

Birmingham

1.80

23%

Draw

4.27

21%

Norwich

4.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Birmingham xG

Total xG

2.74

0.98

Norwich xG

56%
23%
21%
BirminghamDrawNorwich

1.80

56%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

4.78

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

37%

Birmingham

2.67

17%

Norwich

5.81

Win to Nil

21%

Birmingham

4.79

4%

Norwich

27.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.3 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 11.4 11.1 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.8 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.9 5.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.759
λ Away (xG) 0.981
Total xG 2.740
League avg home goals 1.251
League avg away goals 1.202
Birmingham attack strength 1.340
Birmingham defence strength 0.948
Norwich attack strength 0.861
Norwich defence strength 1.050
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 61