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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Birmingham Win
43%
2.31
25%
4.07
32%
3.11
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.5%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
1 – 0
8.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.57
Birmingham xG
Total xG
2.90
1.32
Millwall xG
BirminghamDrawMillwall
2.31
43%
Home win
4.07
25%
Draw
3.11
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.39
Clean Sheet
27%
3.76
21%
4.83
Win to Nil
12%
8.68
7%
15.04
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 11.5 | 7.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.575
λ Away (xG)
1.324
Total xG
2.899
League avg home goals
1.237
League avg away goals
1.164
Birmingham attack strength
1.254
Birmingham defence strength
1.059
Millwall attack strength
1.074
Millwall defence strength
1.015
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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