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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Birmingham Win
41%
2.42
25%
4.03
34%
2.96
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.8%
Home win
1 – 2
7.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.63
Birmingham xG
Total xG
3.08
1.46
Coventry xG
BirminghamDrawCoventry
2.42
41%
Home win
4.03
25%
Draw
2.96
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.61
38%
BTTS No
2.64
Clean Sheet
23%
4.28
20%
5.10
Win to Nil
10%
10.36
7%
15.07
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 10.8 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.629
λ Away (xG)
1.455
Total xG
3.084
League avg home goals
1.375
League avg away goals
1.119
Birmingham attack strength
1.178
Birmingham defence strength
0.968
Coventry attack strength
1.343
Coventry defence strength
1.005
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
25 / 71