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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

40%

Birmingham

2.49

32%

Draw

3.14

28%

Bristol City

3.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Birmingham xG

Total xG

2.26

1.01

Bristol City xG

40%
32%
28%
BirminghamDrawBristol City

2.49

40%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

3.56

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

36%

Birmingham

2.74

29%

Bristol City

3.49

Win to Nil

15%

Birmingham

6.83

8%

Bristol City

12.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 10.5 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 13.1 13.2 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.2 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.4 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.251
λ Away (xG) 1.008
Total xG 2.259
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.179
Birmingham attack strength 1.009
Birmingham defence strength 0.928
Bristol City attack strength 0.921
Bristol City defence strength 0.956
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 90