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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Tuesday 12 January 2027

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists four fixtures on Tuesday 12 January 2027. RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart (RB Leipzig (draw no bet)) tops the list at 90% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies four of the top 4, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig (draw no bet) 90%
RB Leipzig
– : – 19:30
VfB Stuttgart
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München (draw no bet) 90%
Bayern München
– : – 19:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 81%
Draw 10%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 92% BTTS Yes 78%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg (draw no bet) 84%
SC Freiburg
– : – 19:30
Hamburger SV
Win 71%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Augsburg (draw no bet) 82%
FC Augsburg
– : – 19:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 4 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Tuesday 12 January 2027?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart (RB Leipzig (draw no bet)) at 90% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.