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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Tuesday 26 November 2024

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Tuesday 26 November 2024. Norwich vs Plymouth (Norwich (draw no bet)) sits top on 89% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the draw no bet market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Norwich (draw no bet) 89%
Norwich
6 : 1 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior (draw no bet) 81%
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
Excelsior
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd (draw no bet) 79%
Sheffield Utd
3 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Championship Β· England Stoke City (draw no bet) 77%
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Preston
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 League One Β· England Wrexham (draw no bet) 75%
Wrexham
1 : 0 FT
Lincoln
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense (draw no bet) 73%
Fluminense
0 : 0 FT
Criciuma
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda (draw no bet) 72%
Roda
3 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 7 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Tuesday 26 November 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Norwich vs Plymouth (Norwich (draw no bet)) at 89% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.