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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Saturday 24 September 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Saturday 24 September 2022. Wuhan Three Towns vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. (Wuhan Three Towns (draw no bet)) sits top on 92% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the draw no bet market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns (draw no bet) 92%
Wuhan Three Towns
3 : 4 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 League One Β· England Peterborough (draw no bet) 83%
Peterborough
3 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 League Two Β· England Northampton (draw no bet) 82%
Northampton
2 : 1 FT
Stockport County
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 League Two Β· England Bradford (draw no bet) 81%
Bradford
2 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#5 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet) 72%
Sheffield Wednesday
3 : 1 FT
Wycombe
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 5 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 24 September 2022?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Three Towns vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. (Wuhan Three Towns (draw no bet)) at 92% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.