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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 12 August 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 12 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan (Wuhan Three Towns (draw no bet)) at 87% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the draw no bet market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns (draw no bet) 87%
Wuhan Three Towns
5 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 14%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven (draw no bet) 76%
FC Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica (draw no bet) 74%
U. Catolica
2 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68% U. Catolica Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy Parma (draw no bet) 72%
Parma
2 : 2 FT
Bari
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor (draw no bet) 71%
Trabzonspor
1 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United (draw no bet) 70%
Bangkok United
2 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 6 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 12 August 2022?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan (Wuhan Three Towns (draw no bet)) at 87% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.