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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 23 April 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Friday 23 April 2027. Saint Etienne vs Dijon (Saint Etienne or draw) tops the list at 87% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France Saint Etienne or draw 87%
Saint Etienne
– : – 18:00
Dijon
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Almere City FC or draw 85%
Almere City FC
– : – 18:00
FC OSS
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Montpellier or draw 83%
Nantes
– : – 18:00
Montpellier
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 83%
FC Volendam
– : – 18:00
Roda
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 80%
Piast Gliwice
– : – 16:00
Wisla Plock
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 77%
Pogon Szczecin
– : – 16:00
Raków Częstochowa
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 23 April 2027?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Saint Etienne vs Dijon (Saint Etienne or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.