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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 11 April 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 11 April 2027. Kocaelispor vs Eyüpspor (Kocaelispor or draw) tops the list at 90% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig · Turkey Kocaelispor or draw 90%
Kocaelispor
– : – 12:00
Eyüpspor
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
BTTS No 62% Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 90%
Utrecht
– : – 15:00
Ajax
Win 10%
Draw 13%
Win 77%
Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 72%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 89%
Trabzonspor
– : – 12:00
Alanyaspor
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#4 La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 88%
Atletico Madrid
– : – 15:00
Levante
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 87%
1. FC Heidenheim
– : – 11:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 86%
Famalicao
– : – 15:00
Benfica
Win 14%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 86%
Racing Santander
– : – 15:00
Barcelona
Win 14%
Draw 15%
Win 70%
Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 76%
#8 Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 85%
ADO Den Haag
– : – 15:00
Feyenoord
Win 15%
Draw 17%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 72%
#9 Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 85%
Willem II
– : – 15:00
AZ Alkmaar
Win 15%
Draw 22%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 82%
Roda
– : – 14:45
MVV
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 82%
Fenerbahçe
– : – 12:00
Çorum FK
Win 67%
Draw 15%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 78%
#12 Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 82%
Napoli
– : – 16:30
Sassuolo
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 81%
PEC Zwolle
– : – 15:00
PSV Eindhoven
Win 19%
Draw 20%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%
#14 Serie A · Italy Como or draw 81%
Parma
– : – 16:30
Como
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 54%
#15 La Liga · Spain Espanyol or draw 81%
Espanyol
– : – 15:00
Malaga
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#16 2. Bundesliga · Germany Hertha BSC or draw 80%
Hertha BSC
– : – 11:30
Energie Cottbus
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal Santa Clara or draw 80%
Santa Clara
– : – 15:00
Moreirense
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Magdeburg or draw 80%
1. FC Magdeburg
– : – 11:30
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Serie A · Italy Frosinone or draw 79%
Frosinone
– : – 16:30
Genoa
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#20 Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 77%
Fiorentina
– : – 16:30
AC Milan
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 11 April 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kocaelispor vs Eyüpspor (Kocaelispor or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.