Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 11 April 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 11 April 2026. Al Okhdood vs Al-Nassr (Al-Nassr or draw) sits top on 94% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr or draw
94%
Championship · England
Coventry or draw
93%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira or draw
92%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren or draw
90%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona or draw
89%
Premier League · Russia
Baltika or draw
88%
Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island or draw
87%
Serie B · Italy
Monza or draw
87%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United or draw
87%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K. or draw
87%
League One · England
Lincoln or draw
86%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir or draw
86%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
85%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
85%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso or draw
84%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
83%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig or draw
83%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough or draw
82%
League Two · England
Salford City or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 11 April 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Okhdood vs Al-Nassr (Al-Nassr or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.