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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 21 October 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 21 October 2025. VVV Venlo vs Jong Utrecht (VVV Venlo or draw) led the list at 89% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies three of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the double chance market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo or draw 89%
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Championship Β· England Preston or draw 85%
Preston
0 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 Championship Β· England Ipswich or draw 85%
Ipswich
0 : 3 FT
Charlton
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Den Bosch or draw 80%
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil Santos or draw 78%
Santos
0 : 1 FT
Vitoria
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Championship Β· England Coventry or draw 78%
Portsmouth
1 : 2 FT
Coventry
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 21 October 2025?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by VVV Venlo vs Jong Utrecht (VVV Venlo or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.