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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 30 August 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 August 2025. Zenit vs Nizhny Novgorod (Zenit or draw) led the list at 94% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 94%
Zenit
2 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Zenit Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 94%
PSV Eindhoven
0 : 2 FT
Telstar
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 93%
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 2 FT
FC BW Linz
Win 74%
Draw 19%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#4 League Two Β· England Chesterfield or draw 89%
Chesterfield
2 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 59%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 87%
Mjallby AIF
1 : 0 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 85%
Spartak Moscow
2 : 1 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway Valerenga or draw 84%
Valerenga
3 : 2 FT
Bryne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 84%
KV Mechelen
3 : 2 FT
RAAL La Louvière
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC or draw 84%
Vitória SC
1 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 League One Β· England Cardiff or draw 83%
Cardiff
4 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#11 League Two Β· England Grimsby or draw 83%
Grimsby
0 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
#12 League One Β· England Leyton Orient or draw 83%
Leyton Orient
0 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 83%
Antalyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 82%
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 1 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 82%
Galatasaray
3 : 1 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 81%
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hannover 96 or draw 81%
Holstein Kiel
1 : 2 FT
Hannover 96
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil Ceara or draw 81%
Ceara
0 : 1 FT
Juventude
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#19 Premier League Β· England Manchester United or draw 81%
Manchester United
3 : 2 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 81%
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 3 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 30 August 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs Nizhny Novgorod (Zenit or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.