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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 29 August 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 29 August 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Groningen vs Heracles (Groningen or draw) at 88% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Groningen or draw 88%
Groningen
4 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 83%
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 FT
MVV
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Uthai Thani or draw 82%
Uthai Thani
1 : 4 FT
Ayutthaya FC
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 80%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Rodez or draw 80%
Rodez
1 : 0 FT
Boulogne
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 League Two Β· England Salford City or draw 79%
Salford City
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile Everton de Vina or draw 79%
Everton de Vina
3 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland GKS Katowice or draw 78%
GKS Katowice
3 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Super League Β· China Qingdao Jonoon or draw 78%
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 78%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy Reggiana or draw 77%
Reggiana
3 : 1 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 76%
Derry City
2 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 29 August 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Groningen vs Heracles (Groningen or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.