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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 9 August 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 9 August 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Universidad de Chile vs Union Espanola (Universidad de Chile or draw) at 88% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 88%
Universidad de Chile
4 : 1 FT
Union Espanola
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 86%
Flamengo
2 : 1 FT
Mirassol
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 64% Flamengo Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 86%
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen or draw 85%
Heerenveen
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 84%
Feyenoord
2 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 82%
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 82%
NEC Nijmegen
5 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 82%
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#9 League Two Β· England Bromley or draw 81%
Bromley
2 : 0 FT
Barnet
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France Guingamp or draw 81%
Guingamp
3 : 3 FT
Le Mans
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KVC Westerlo or draw 80%
KVC Westerlo
0 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France Laval or draw 79%
Laval
3 : 3 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Samsunspor or draw 79%
Samsunspor
2 : 1 FT
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France Rodez or draw 79%
Rodez
0 : 0 FT
Nancy
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#15 League Two Β· England Swindon Town or draw 79%
Swindon Town
3 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
#16 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 78%
FC Luzern
1 : 2 FT
FC Thun
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 League Two Β· England Tranmere or draw 78%
Tranmere
4 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Widzew Łódź or draw 78%
Widzew Łódź
1 : 1 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 78%
FC ST. Gallen
5 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Premier League Β· Ukraine Kryvbas KR or draw 77%
Kryvbas KR
2 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 9 August 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Universidad de Chile vs Union Espanola (Universidad de Chile or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.