Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 29 December 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 29 December 2024. Oxford United vs Plymouth (Oxford United or draw) sits top on 89% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Championship supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Championship · England
Oxford United or draw
89%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan or draw
88%
Championship · England
Swansea or draw
88%
Championship · England
Bristol City or draw
86%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro or draw
85%
League One · England
Leyton Orient or draw
84%
Championship · England
Watford or draw
84%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese or draw
83%
League Two · England
Walsall or draw
83%
Championship · England
Norwich or draw
82%
Championship · England
Blackburn or draw
81%
Serie B · Italy
Sassuolo or draw
81%
League Two · England
Salford City or draw
81%
League One · England
Exeter City or draw
81%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave or draw
81%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
79%
League One · England
Huddersfield or draw
79%
Serie B · Italy
Modena or draw
78%
League One · England
Wycombe or draw
78%
Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia or draw
78%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 29 December 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Oxford United vs Plymouth (Oxford United or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.