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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 23 July 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 23 July 2023. The strongest reading belongs to BSC Young Boys vs Lausanne (BSC Young Boys or draw) at 91% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 91%
BSC Young Boys
2 : 1 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland VPS or draw 89%
VPS
4 : 1 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 61% VPS Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 84%
RB Bragantino
0 : 0 FT
Internacional
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 81%
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Stromsgodset or draw 80%
Stromsgodset
0 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 80%
FC Zurich
2 : 0 FT
Yverdon Sport
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 80%
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovácko or draw 79%
Slovácko
4 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 78%
Sparta Praha
2 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 78%
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Zaglebie Lubin or draw 78%
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 1 FT
Ruch Chorzów
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden Utsikten or draw 76%
Utsikten
2 : 1 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 76%
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia FC Sochi or draw 75%
FC Sochi
2 : 0 FT
Baltika
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 23 July 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs Lausanne (BSC Young Boys or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.