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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 2 April 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 2 April 2023. Real Madrid vs Valladolid (Real Madrid or draw) sits top on 92% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 92%
Real Madrid
6 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Real Madrid Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 92%
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 2 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 67%
Draw 25%
Win 8%
BTTS No 55%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 91%
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 63%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 90%
Chornomorets
2 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 10%
Draw 16%
Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 90%
Sparta Praha
3 : 1 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo or draw 89%
Celta Vigo
2 : 2 FT
Almeria
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 88%
Napoli
0 : 4 FT
AC Milan
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice or draw 88%
Angers
1 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 56%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Köln or draw 86%
1. FC Köln
0 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 85%
FC Kharkiv
0 : 3 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 84%
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 2 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 83%
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 82%
Rio Ave
0 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht or draw 81%
Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 80%
Panathinaikos
0 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
Win 43%
Draw 38%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 80%
Genk
2 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 80%
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 3 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio or draw 80%
Monza
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 80%
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Real Betis
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#20 Premier League Β· England West Ham or draw 79%
West Ham
1 : 0 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 2 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Valladolid (Real Madrid or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.