Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Sunday 2 April 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 2 April 2023. Real Madrid vs Valladolid (Real Madrid or draw) sits top on 92% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid or draw
92%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
92%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto or draw
91%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
90%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha or draw
90%
La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo or draw
89%
Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli or draw
88%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice or draw
88%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln or draw
86%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1 or draw
85%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
84%
Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma or draw
83%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica or draw
82%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
81%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos or draw
80%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk or draw
80%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg or draw
80%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio or draw
80%
La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid or draw
80%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham or draw
79%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 2 April 2023?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Valladolid (Real Madrid or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.