Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 4 October 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 4 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Hebei Zhongji vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. (Shijiazhuang Y. J. or draw) at 86% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Championship supplies three of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J. or draw
86%
League One · England
Ipswich or draw
84%
League Two · England
Stevenage or draw
82%
Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo or draw
80%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras or draw
80%
Championship · England
Bristol City or draw
78%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd or draw
78%
Championship · England
Luton or draw
77%
League One · England
Fleetwood Town or draw
75%
Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Predictions by country
UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 4 October 2022?
nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Hebei Zhongji vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. (Shijiazhuang Y. J. or draw) at 86% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.