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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 11 July 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 11 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Colo Colo vs D. La Serena (Colo Colo or draw) at 85% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 85%
Colo Colo
3 : 0 FT
D. La Serena
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Varnamo or draw 84%
IFK Varnamo
1 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 60%
#3 Super League Β· China Meizhou Kejia or draw 83%
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64%
#4 Super League Β· China Henan Jianye or draw 79%
Henan Jianye
6 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 78%
Helsingborg
0 : 2 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 22%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden IK brage or draw 77%
IK brage
1 : 1 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 11 July 2022?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Colo Colo vs D. La Serena (Colo Colo or draw) at 85% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.