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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 23 January 2022

Thu 20 Fri 21 Sat 22 Sun 23 Mon 24 Tue 25 Wed 26

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 23 January 2022. Maritimo vs Belenenses (Maritimo or draw) led the list at 88% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal Maritimo or draw 88%

✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 65% Maritimo Clean Sheet 57%

Süper Lig · Turkey Hatayspor or draw 87%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%

Ligue 1 · France Nice or draw 87%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium SK Beveren or draw 86%

Ligue 1 · France Nantes or draw 86%

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 86%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 85%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 85%

#10

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#11

Süper Lig · Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#12

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 83%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%

#13

Süper Lig · Turkey Konyaspor or draw 83%

#14

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 82%

Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#15

Ligue 1 · France Strasbourg or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#16

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 80%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%

#17

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 80%

#18

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 79%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%

#19

La Liga · Spain Rayo Vallecano or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 70% Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 54%

#20

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 23 January 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Maritimo vs Belenenses (Maritimo or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.