Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 25 September 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 25 September 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Ajax vs Groningen (Ajax or draw) at 96% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 84%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
96%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
90%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK or draw
90%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen or draw
90%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF or draw
89%
Premier League · England
Manchester United or draw
88%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
88%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys or draw
88%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid or draw
88%
League Two · England
Leyton Orient or draw
88%
Premier League · England
Everton or draw
87%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset or draw
87%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh or draw
86%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC or draw
85%
League One · England
Plymouth or draw
85%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice or draw
84%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed or draw
84%
Championship · England
Huddersfield or draw
84%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla or draw
84%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid or draw
84%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 25 September 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs Groningen (Ajax or draw) at 96% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.