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Stalemate at Vyškov's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Sportovní areál Drnovice, Relegation Round, as Vyškov and Dukla Praha drew 0-0 in the Czech Liga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Vyškov 1.29 xG and Dukla Praha 1.07 xG, a combined 2.36. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Vyškov fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Dukla Praha landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Vyškov attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Dukla Praha attack 0.78 / defence 1.11, drawn from 0/30 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Vyškov 41% | Draw 28% | Dukla Praha 31%, with Vyškov to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Vyškov 0%, Dukla Praha 100%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Form vs Result

On form, Dukla Praha arrived the stronger side — 1.50 PPG against 0.00. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Vyškov conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Dukla Praha managed 0 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights