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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Czech Liga · Relegation - Final

Kick-off

Sat 30 May 2026

12:00

Venue

Stadion Kvapilova

Competition

Czech Liga

Czech-Republic

Status

FT
📰

Dominant Baník Ostrava run riot with a 0-5 hammering of Táborsko.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Baník Ostrava beat Táborsko 0-5 at Stadion Kvapilova, Relegation - Final, in the Czech Liga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Táborsko 1.45 xG and Baník Ostrava 1.18 xG, a combined 2.63. The scoreboard read 0-5 for 5 actual goals. Táborsko fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Baník Ostrava outscored their 1.18 projection by 3.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Táborsko attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Baník Ostrava attack 0.85 / defence 1.24, drawn from 0/60 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Táborsko 43% | Draw 28% | Baník Ostrava 30%, with Táborsko to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual Baník Ostrava win had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. Over 3.5 was 27% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 100% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Táborsko 100%, Baník Ostrava 100%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 0%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Form vs Result

On form, Baník Ostrava arrived the stronger side — 3.00 PPG against 0.00. That form edge translated into the three points. Táborsko shipped 5 against a 3.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Baník Ostrava scored 5 against a 3.00 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights

Model Goals market defied the model — 49% Over 2.5 probability, but 5 goals scored.
Model BTTS bucked the model — 54% projected, one side was shut out.
Trading Trading data backed up — the sides average 100% Over 2.5 historically, and this game went over.

⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.