🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Dominant Slovácko run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Artis.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Slovácko beat Artis 3-0 at Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty, Relegation - Final, in the Czech Liga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Slovácko 1.59 xG and Artis 1.25 xG, a combined 2.83. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Slovácko beat their projection by 1.4 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Artis landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Slovácko attack 1.00 / defence 1.22 against Artis attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 60/0 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Slovácko 45% | Draw 26% | Artis 29%, with Slovácko to win its most likely call at 45%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 100% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Slovácko 100%, Artis 100%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 100%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Form vs Result

On form, Slovácko arrived the stronger side — 3.00 PPG against 0.00. Form held, and they took the win. Slovácko managed 3 against a 4.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Artis managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 3 against a 4.00 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights