Most Likely Outcome
Plzen Win
42%
2.38
28%
3.63
30%
3.28
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.5%
Home win
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.43
Plzen xG
Total xG
2.61
1.18
Slovan Liberec xG
PlzenDrawSlovan Liberec
2.38
42%
Home win
3.63
28%
Draw
3.28
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.87
46%
BTTS No
2.15
Clean Sheet
31%
3.26
24%
4.17
Win to Nil
13%
7.78
7%
13.69
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.5 | 12.4 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 8.9 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.429
λ Away (xG)
1.183
Total xG
2.612
League avg home goals
1.403
League avg away goals
1.204
Plzen attack strength
1.015
Plzen defence strength
0.965
Slovan Liberec attack strength
1.018
Slovan Liberec defence strength
1.004
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
30 / 30