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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Plzen cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Slovan Liberec.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Plzen beat Slovan Liberec 2-0 at Doosan Arena, Championship Group - 2, in the Czech Liga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Plzen 1.46 xG and Slovan Liberec 1.16 xG, a combined 2.63. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Slovan Liberec landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Plzen attack 1.05 / defence 0.93 against Slovan Liberec attack 1.04 / defence 1.01, drawn from 60/60 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Plzen 43% | Draw 28% | Slovan Liberec 29%, with Plzen to win its most likely call at 43%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Plzen 54%, Slovan Liberec 44%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Plzen's trading profile (63 games, 31 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.

Slovan Liberec's trading profile (63 games, 31 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Plzen arrived the stronger side — 1.95 PPG against 1.44. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Plzen (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.13 average — tighter than their form line. Slovan Liberec (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.52 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights