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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Slavia Praha cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Mlada Boleslav.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Slavia Praha beat Mlada Boleslav 1-3 at Lokotrans Arena, Regular Season - 7, in the Czech Liga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Mlada Boleslav 1.05 xG and Slavia Praha 2.00 xG, a combined 3.05. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Slavia Praha outscored their 2.00 projection by 1.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Mlada Boleslav attack 1.08 / defence 1.51 against Slavia Praha attack 1.09 / defence 0.71, drawn from 35/36 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Mlada Boleslav 19% | Draw 22% | Slavia Praha 59%, with Slavia Praha to win its most likely call at 59%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. Over 3.5 was 36% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Mlada Boleslav 65%, Slavia Praha 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 46%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Mlada Boleslav's trading profile (40 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.

Slavia Praha's trading profile (40 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 35% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 60% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Slavia Praha arrived the stronger side — 2.58 PPG against 1.12. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Mlada Boleslav (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.68 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Slavia Praha (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.95 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights